martedì 26 novembre 2013

#Forex #EURUSD Order Flow Trading - Morning Call - Overview 26/11

I soli ordini interessanti per oggi sono EURUSD 1.3550, 1.3525, 1.3505 & 1.3500 che corrispondono con i livelli di scadenza delle opzioni. Qualche offerta tra 3555 e 3570, e bids tra 3480 e 3500, sell stops tra 3470e 3450.

Aggiornamenti su twitter durante la giornata su posizioni di banche ed istituzionali.

Buon Trading!

Analisi da LMAX:

 Interbank Ranges as of 6am London time

Highs Lows

USD/JPY 101.72 | 101.33

EUR/USD 1.3541 | 1.3515

EUR/JPY 137.58 | 137.15

AUD/USD 0.9204 | 0.9157

NZD/USD 0.8261 | 0.8213

USD/CAD 1.0543 | 1.0523

EUR/CHF 1.23295 | 1.2323

USD/CHF 0.91175 | 0.9102

GBP/USD 1.6174 | 1.6147

EUR/GBP 0.83785 | 0.8358



For today

Topside: 101.70-102.00 light buy stop 102.00-102.30 medium offers 102.30-102.60 large offers
Downside: 101.20-101.40 light bids 100.90-101.20 medium bids 100.60-100.90 medium sell stops

EURUSD
Topside: 1.3540-1.3550 light mix 1.3550-1.3580 medium offer
Downside: 1.3470-1.3500 light bids 1.3440-1.3470 light sell stops

EURJPY
Topside: 137.80-138.10 light buy stop 138.10-138.40 light buy stop
Downside: 136.50-136.80 light bids 136.00-136.30 light bids

AUDUSD
Topside: 0.9200-0.9220 light offers 0.9220-0.9250 light mix

Downside: 0.9090-0.9130 light sell stop 0.9020-0.9050 light bids


EUR: The Euro continued its small rally from the NYK session, moving steadily into the Tokyo session and touching above the 1.3540 levels before slipping back a little as we moved towards the London opening. Volumes were fairly brisk in early trading but slackened off as we moved through the session with little news now or later.
GBP: Cable was quiet over all moving a little higher from the 1.6160 levels on the opening rising quickly on light GBPJPY buying to touch just below the 1.6175 level before drifting off with the Euro to move steadily through the opening levels to trade below the 1.6150 levels.
JPY: USDJPY finished in NYK on its highs just above the 101.70 level and we never reached there again, with the market reasonably choppy over all with strong selling from the opening helped along with no change in policy according to the BoJ minutes. The market traded to a low of 101.35 this set the range for the day and we then settled down to trade around the 101.50 as a centre line. The market moved towards London holding just above that centre line. Japanese retail dominated today and we were unable to get close to those highs.
AUD: Oz rose quickly in the Sydney part of the session moving from the 0.9160 levels to above 0.9190 before Tokyo stepped into the fray from there its been a slow day with the market pushing to just below the 0.9200 levels and then holding the 0.9180/0.9190 levels for the remainder of the session. The whole lot for the moment seems to be fresh out of ideas however, may be the topside in USDJPY isn’t over with.



Overnight News

JPY:
BoJ’s Shirai proposed that attention needed on downside risks

BoJ’s Shirai saw high degree of uncertainty in global economy

BoJ’s Shirai high degree of uncertainty in household income

BoJ’s Sato proposed saying 2% inflation will come in sight

Kiuchi proposed saying BoJ to review policy flexibly in 2yrs

Some BOJ members called for focus on downside risks -Oct 31 mtg minutes

Amari: Market Principles Reflected in Weak Yen Under Abenomics

Japan MOF to target bigger deficit reductions in FY 2014, 2015 -source

EUR/CNY:

Zhou Says Euro Important to China Reserve Management: MNI

CNY:

China Said to Plan Crackdown on Banks’ Evasion of Lending Limits

China to Cut Central Government Investment Approvals by 60% -NDRC

China Should Slightly Loosen Monetary Policy: Securities Journal

China Needs to Develop Derivatives to Hedge Risk: PBOC’s Xu

China home price rises seen slowing to 5 pct in 2014

EUR:

ECB’s Noyer Says Euro Area Recovery Weak, Fragile: MNI

AUD:

Australia’s RBA official expects to see lower A$ in time

RBA’s Lowe Says Threshold for FX Intervention Fairly High


Today’s data

Actual = A | Consensus = C | Previous = P | Revised = R All timings GMT

JPY Corporate Service Price Y/Y Oct A 0.80% | C 0.90% | P 0.70%

13:30 USD Housing Starts Sep C 0.91M | P 0.89M

13:30 USD Building Permits Sep C 0.94M | P 0.93M

13:30 USD Housing Starts Oct P 0.92M

13:30 USD Building Permits Oct P 0.94M

14:00 USD S&P/Case-Shiller Composite-20 Y/Y Sep C 13.00% | P 12.80%

14:00 USD House Price Index M/M Sep C 0.40% | P 0.30%

15:00 USD Consumer Confidence Nov C 72.1 | P 71.2